19 April 2012

Roy Morgan poll – some odd narrative


A couple of weeks ago, Roy Morgan came out with an interesting poll:

http://www.roymorgan.com/news/polls/2012/4761/

The Nats were down (to 44%) and the Greens were up to a record level (17%) – and the centre left block of Labour-Green-NZF stood at 52.5%.

But Gary Morgan’s attached narrative concluded this:

“If a National Election were held today the National Party would likely be returned to Government, however a Labour/ Greens alliance could form Government.”

This puzzled me and some others.  So I queried this with Roy Morgan. And the response surprised!